FIRE calculator

When can you live off your capital? The 4% rule, adjusted for inflation.

Runs entirely in your browser. We don't send or store what you type.

4.0%
8.0%
3.0%

Live off returns only — capital stays intact.

24%

Your FIRE number

1,050,000

Progress to freedom

Time to freedom

13 years 8 months

Freedom date: June 2040

Safe to withdraw now
833
Annual withdrawal
42,000
Capital lasts
Indefinitely

What if…

Capital growth

398.6K797.2K1.2MFIRE number20262029203220352038204120442045
Capital

Projections use a fixed average return (optionally inflation-adjusted) and assume steady contributions. Real markets are volatile; taxes and fees are not included. Educational only, not financial advice.

Track it live in the app — Nummira runs this on your real portfolio

Nummira runs this math live on your real portfolio — no spreadsheets to update.

Continue in the app

With $250,000 saved, a $3,500 target monthly spend, $2,500 contributed monthly and an 8% expected return at 3% inflation, you reach your FIRE number of $1,050,000 in about 13 years and 8 months — move the sliders above and watch the date respond.

What is FIRE and the 4% rule?

FIRE — Financial Independence, Retire Early — is the point where your capital covers your living costs indefinitely. The common shortcut is the 4% rule: if you withdraw 4% of your portfolio in the first year and adjust for inflation afterwards, a diversified portfolio has historically survived 30-year retirements in most scenarios (the Trinity study, 1998). Your FIRE number is therefore your annual spending divided by the withdrawal rate: 25× annual expenses at 4%.

This calculator uses the same math as the FIRE screen in the Nummira app, so if you later track your real portfolio there, the numbers will line up.

Why we compute in real (inflation-adjusted) returns

Your target is set in today's money, so the projection must grow in today's money too. We convert the nominal return to a real rate — (1 + return) / (1 + inflation) − 1 — and compound monthly. That way "$3,000 a month" still buys what $3,000 buys now, whether freedom is 5 or 25 years away.

Limitations of the model

The model assumes one fixed average return and steady contributions. It ignores sequence-of-returns risk (bad years early in retirement hurt more), taxes, fees and changes in your spending. Treat the result as a compass bearing, not a contract.

Calculator FAQ

What is a FIRE number?
The capital at which your chosen withdrawal rate covers your annual expenses: annual spending ÷ withdrawal rate. At 4% it's 25× your annual expenses; at 3% it's ~33×.
Is the 4% rule safe?
It's a historical heuristic, not a guarantee. The Trinity study found high success rates for 30-year horizons with diversified portfolios. Longer retirements or cautious plans often use 3–3.5%. This calculator lets you set 2–8%.
Should I include my home in current capital?
Only include assets that can produce returns or be drawn down. A home you live in usually doesn't pay your bills — most people exclude it, or include only the part they'd realistically release.
Are taxes and fees included?
No. Returns here are gross of taxes and fees. If your investments are taxed, use a lower expected return to approximate the drag.
Is my data stored anywhere?
No. All math runs locally in your browser. The only place your inputs appear is the URL if you copy the share link yourself.